Here we go.... So in 2005, prices were 50% above, in 2010, they need to fall 30%, but this is cushioned. So it could be 10 or 20%, basically where we were 2 or 3 years ago...or possibly in line with demand. The only way house prices can fall dramatically in Australia, is if our economy declines at a very destructive rate, unemployment at 12-15%, banks start to wobble, and basically a whole destruction of our lifestyle, which nobody will be able to afford to buy commodities/property anyway. To all the people who keep drumming the "Bring it on" "About time", consider this for one minute, yes you might get your house at a reduced price, but you will be out of a job, your bank will probably have gone broke - operating on a Government lifeline, your super balance will be about 30% of what it is now, and our country will be completely devastated and a terrible place to live. Don't wish for a 40-50% price reduction, if you don't fully understand the consequences.
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The real estate sector has always been relatively secure for the long term investor. 30 year averages put residential price growth around 12%pa.
ReplyDeleteI think affordability is becoming an issue. 20 years ago a good house would set your back the equivalent of three years of the breadwinners salary. Now adays it's more like 6 to 8 years of the breadwinners salary.